Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 9.924777e-05 0.000117 0.000137 0.000158 0.000183 0.000208 0.000237
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 7.445018e-05 0.000098 0.000124 0.000155 0.000192 0.000232 0.000280
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 6.004604e-05 0.000085 0.000115 0.000152 0.000196 0.000246 0.000307
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 4.947134e-05 0.000076 0.000109 0.000151 0.000204 0.000264 0.000340
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 4.269780e-05 0.000070 0.000106 0.000153 0.000212 0.000282 0.000370
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 3.575244e-05 0.000063 0.000101 0.000151 0.000217 0.000296 0.000397
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 2.890124e-05 0.000056 0.000093 0.000146 0.000216 0.000301 0.000412
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 2.513402e-05 0.000052 0.000091 0.000147 0.000223 0.000318 0.000441
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 1.979557e-05 0.000045 0.000083 0.000141 0.000220 0.000319 0.000452
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.733827e-05 0.000042 0.000082 0.000143 0.000227 0.000335 0.000480
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.461571e-05 0.000039 0.000079 0.000141 0.000230 0.000346 0.000501
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.342165e-05 0.000038 0.000080 0.000146 0.000241 0.000366 0.000535
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.079377e-05 0.000034 0.000076 0.000145 0.000246 0.000379 0.000562
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 8.121939e-06 0.000030 0.000071 0.000141 0.000246 0.000387 0.000582
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 6.222338e-06 0.000026 0.000067 0.000138 0.000247 0.000396 0.000605
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 4.800209e-06 0.000024 0.000064 0.000137 0.000251 0.000408 0.000631
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 3.931060e-06 0.000022 0.000063 0.000139 0.000259 0.000426 0.000663
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 2.923954e-06 0.000020 0.000060 0.000137 0.000261 0.000436 0.000687
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 1.934068e-06 0.000017 0.000056 0.000133 0.000259 0.000440 0.000701
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 1.483504e-06 0.000016 0.000055 0.000134 0.000265 0.000455 0.000732
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 8.396958e-07 0.000013 0.000050 0.000128 0.000260 0.000455 0.000740
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 6.136551e-07 0.000012 0.000049 0.000129 0.000267 0.000471 0.000772
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 3.826628e-07 0.000011 0.000047 0.000128 0.000270 0.000482 0.000796